Japanese

International Workshop on Bayesian Econometrics and Statistics
4-5 February 2010, University of Tokyo

Sanjo Conference Hall (University of Tokyo, Hongo Campus)
Hongo Sancho-me Station, Access to Hongo Campus, Access to Hongo Campus from outside of Tokyo
Organizer: Teruo Nakatsuma and Yasuhiro Omori
Program:
February 4 (Thursday)

Session Chair Hajime Wago (Kyoto Sangyo University)
13:00 - 13:40 Wolfgang Polasek (Institute for Advanced Studies, Austria)
"Marketing and regional sales: Spatial sales response functions"
13:40 - 14:10 Nobuhiko Terui (Tohoku University)
"Dynamic joint space map by using scanner panel data" (with Shohei Hasegawa )
14:10 - 14:40 Teruo Nakatsuma (Keio University)
"A Markov chain Monte Carlo implementation of the Bayesian method of moments for linear regression models"
14:40 - 14:50 Coffee Break
Session Chair Hideo Kozumi (Kobe University)
14:50 - 15:30 Cathy Chen (Feng Chia University, Taiwan)
"Multiple-regime threshold heteroskedastic models: A Bayesian perspective"
15:30 - 16:00 Kazuhiko Kakamu (Chiba University)
"Spatio-temporal dynamics in economic growth" (Hideo Kozumi)
16:00 - 16:30 Koji Miyawaki (National Institute for Environmental Studies)
"A Bayesian estimation of the residential gas demand on the nonconvex budget set'' (with Yasuhiro Omori and Akira Hibiki)
16:30 - 17:00 Genya Kobayashi (Kobe University)
"Bayesian analysis of quantile regression for dynamic censored panel data" (with Hideo Kozumi)

Dinner

February 5 (Friday)

Session Chair Nobuhiko Terui (Tohoku University)
9:30 - 10:00 Yasuhiro Omori (University of Tokyo)
"Stochastic volatility model with leverage and asymmetrically heavy-tailed error using GH skew Student's t-distribution" (with Jouchi Nakajima)
10:00 - 10:30 Haruhisa Nishino (Chiba University)
"Bayesian estimation of ARFIMA model" (with Kazuhiko Kakamu)
10:30 - 10:40 Coffee Break
10:40 - 11:10 Toshiaki Watanabe (Hitotsubashi University)
gBayesian analysis of structural changes in ARFIMA Models with an application to realized volatilityh
11:10 - 11:40 Manabu Asai (Soka University)
"The structure of conditional, stochastic and realized covariance matrices@(with Mike So)"
11:40 - 13:00 Lunch
Session Chair Toshiaki Watanabe (Hitotsubashi University)
13:00 - 13:40 Mike So (Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong)
"Bayesian analysis of multivariate volatility models"
13:40 - 14:10 Tomohiro Ando (Keio University)
"Predictive Bayesian model selection"
14:10 - 14:40 Kentaro Fukumoto (Gakushuin University)
"Estimation of incumbency advantage and campaign spending effect without the simultaneity bias by way of a new MCMC method"(with Kohei Ichikawa)
14:40 - 15:10 Leon Gonzalez Roberto (National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies)
"Bayesian Inference in the time-varying cointegration model "(with G. Koop and R. Strachan)
15:10 - 15:30 Coffee Break
Short Sessions* Session Chair: Teruo Nakatsuma (Keio University)
15:30 - 15:45 Shinya Sugawara (University of Tokyo)
"Refining the incoherency problem via compatibility with applications to entry game and discrete peer effect models"
15:45 - 16:00 Tsunehiro Ishihara (University of Tokyo)
"Efficient Bayesian estimation of a multivariate stochastic volatility model with cross leverage"
16:00 - 16:15 Kenichiro McAlinn (Keio University)
"Evaluating mutual funds based on their posterior alphas and other performance measures"
16:15 - 16:30 Yoshihiro Otsuka (Hitotsubashi University)
gSpace-time model versus VAR model: Forecasting electric demand in Japanh (with Kazuhiko Kakamu)
16:30 - 16:45 Yuko Onishi (University of Tokyo)
"Bayesian estimation of entry games with multiple player and multiple equilibria"
16:45 - 17:00 Tsuyoshi Kunihama (University of Tokyo)
"Bayesian analysis of max-stable processes with application to high frequency stock returns"

* Presentations by graduate students