Output: Stochastic Volatility without leverage

*****Slow convergence to the posterior distribution*****

Generate 110,000 samples and discard first 10,000 samples.

Further, use every 100th sample out of 100,000 samples

(Total # of samples for the statistical inference reduces to 1,000.)

Posterior means, posterior standard deviations and 95% credible intervals (Inference->Samples->stats)

 

Sample path (history)

 

 

Posterior probability densities (Inference->Samples->density)

(Further, right click on the figure->Margins-> Specialc->Smooth -> change from 0.2 to 0.1-> apply all)

 

Sample autocorrelation function (Inference->Samples->auto corr)

Running quantile plot (Inference->Samples->quantiles)

 

Scatter plots (Inference->Correlationsc)

 

Estimated Volatility (Inference-> Compare-> node:v, axis:time and click on modelfit)

(Further, right-click on the figure, Titles -> title: Volatility, x-axis: time, y-axis: V(t))